Mobile Telephony

Asia - Telecom Forecasts
Asia - Telecom Forecasts
  • SKU: PB-RK-112 | Pages: 61 | Published: Jun-17
  • Published by: Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd

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Details: Fixed broadband will see strong growth in some developing Asian marketsThe telecom market across Asia has an estimated total of 4.15 billion mobile subscribers by 2017. This sector of the overall market continues to experience moderate growth; however, in the more developed markets, growth is shifting away from a focus on subscriber numbers towards the expansion of new generation platforms and increased data usage driven by value-added services and increased ARPUs.
Looking over the next five years, countries with high mobile penetration rates such as Macau, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, Maldives and Kazakhstan are expected to see the slowest growth over the next five years to 2021 due to the relatively high state of maturity in their markets.
There are in fact few countries left in Asia with significantly underdeveloped mobile markets and low mobile penetration rates. Further to this, some Asian countries with relatively underdeveloped telecoms markets, have mobile penetration rates which are often quite high. Compared to more advanced nations such as Japan, Sri Lanka for example has a mobile penetration rate of 127% but a fixed broadband penetration of only 4%. Many of these countries have seen their telecoms markets develop by leapfrogging past fixed broadband, directly to mobile networks which are relatively less expensive to roll out. Countries in this category with very low fixed broadband penetration such Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Cambodia will see relatively high growth rates of fixed broadband, however because fixed broadband subscriber growth is coming from such a small base, the overall increase in penetration rates with be only modest. In these markets, mobile networks are now relatively established and will be the main driver of growth over the next five years.
Only a handful of Asian countries have mobile penetration rates under 90%, these include: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Laos, Myanmar, Pakistan and Uzbekistan. These countries are generally expected to see moderate mobile subscriber growth over the next five years, as they strive to catch up with the rest of Asia.
The expansion of broadband was for a long time a phenomenon limited to the developed economies, with narrowband dial-up access being the norm in the majority of the poorer developing countries of the region. However this has been gradually changing. In those economies, there is now increasing access to broadband, both DSL and cable modem platforms have both proved popular, with DSL establishing a clear advantage. More recently, we have seen the arrival of FttX as an alternative platform for broadband access in Asia. There also continues to be considerable activity in the broadband markets across Asia including amongst the many number of smaller countries such as Azerbaijan, Maldives and Macau.
Fixed broadband penetration is expected to only increase modestly in these markets over the next few years to 2021, while the growth will come from the less developed markets such as India. However penetration rates are never expected to reach the high levels seen in the mobile markets as these developing nations have typically bypassed fixed line access and moved directly to mobile access.


Table of Contents:


1. Market analysis and trends
2. Afghanistan
2.1 Forecasts - internet subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
2.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
2.3 Forecasts - mobile broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
3. Azerbaijan
3.1 Forecasts - fixed broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
3.2 Forecasts -mobile market - 2016; 2018; 2021
4. Bangladesh
4.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
4.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
5. Bhutan
5.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
5.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
6. Brunei Darussalam
6.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
6.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
7. Cambodia
7.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
7.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
8. China
8.1 Forecasts broadband subscribers - 2016 - 2021
8.2 Forecasts: Mobile Internet subscribers 2016-2020
9. Georgia
9.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2018; 2020; 2022
9.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2018; 2020; 2022
10. Hong Kong
10.1 Forecasts - Fixed broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
10.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
11. India
11.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
11.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
12. Indonesia
12.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
12.2 Forecasts - mobile subscirbers - 2016; 2018; 2021
13. Japan
13.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
13.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
14. Kazakhstan
14.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
14.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
15. Kyrgyzstan
15.1 Forecasts - Fixed-Line Market - 2016; 2018; 2021
15.2 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
16. Laos
16.1 Forecasts - Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
16.2 Forecasts - mobile market - 2016; 2018; 2021
17. Macau
17.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
17.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
18. Malaysia
18.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
18.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
19. Mongolia
19.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
19.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
20. Myanmar
20.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
20.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
21. Nepal
21.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
21.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
22. Pakistan
22.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
22.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
23. Philippines
23.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
23.2 Forecasts - mobile services - 2016; 2018; 2021
24. Singapore
24.1 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
25. South Korea
25.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
25.2 Forecasts - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
26. Sri Lanka
26.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
26.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
27. Taiwan
27.1 Forecasts - Fixed Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
27.2 Forecast - LTE mobile subscribers - 2016 (actual); 2018, 2021
28. Tajikistan
28.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
28.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
29. Thailand
29.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
29.2 Forecasts -- Mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
30. Turkmenistan
30.1 Forecasts - broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
30.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
31. Uzbekistan
31.1 Forecasts - fixed broadband internet subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
31.2 Forecasts - mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
32. Vietnam
32.1 Forecasts - fixed broadband subscribers - 2016 - 2018; 2021
32.2 Forecasts - mobile services - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 1 - Top fifteen countries in Asia by mobile penetration (penetration %) - 2016
Table 2 - Afghanistan - Forecast - fixed internet subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 3 - Afghanistan - Forecast mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 4 - Afghanistan - Forecast - mobile broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 5 - Azerbaijan - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 6 - Azerbaijan - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 7- Bangladesh - Forecast Fixed Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 8 - Bangladesh - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 9 - Bhutan - Forecast Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 10 - Bhutan - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 11 - Brunei Darussalam - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 12 - Brunei Darussalam - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 13- Cambodia - Forecast Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 14 - Cambodia - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 15 - China - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 16 - China - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 17 - Georgia - Forecast - fixed broadband subscribers - 2018; 2020; 2022
Table 18 - Georgia - Forecast - mobile subscribers - 2018; 2020; 2022
Table 19 - Hong Kong - Forecast - Fixed Broadband subscribers - 2012 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 20 - Hong Kong - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 21 - India - Forecast Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 22 - India - Forecast mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 23 - Indonesia - Forecast of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 24 - Indonesia - Forecast of mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 25 - Japan - broadband subscriber forecast- 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 26- Japan - mobile subscriber forecast- 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 27 - Kazakhstan - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 28 - Kazakhstan - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 29 - Kyrgyzstan - Forecast fixed line subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 30 - Kyrgyzstan - Forecast fixed broadband internet subscribers and penetration rates - 2010 - 2016; 2018; 2011
Table 31 - Laos - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 32 - Laos - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 33 - Macau - Scenario 1 - Fibre broadband subscriber growth
Table 34 - Macau - Scenario 2 -Fibre broadband subscriber growth
Table 35 - Macau - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 36 - Malaysia - Forecast broadband subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 37 - Malaysia - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 38 - Mongolia - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 39 - Mongolia - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 40 - Myanmar - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 41 - Myanmar - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 42- Nepal - Forecast Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 43 - Nepal - Forecast mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 44 - Pakistan - Forecast fixed broadband internet subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 45 - Pakistan - Forecast mobile subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 46 - Philippines - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 47 - Philippines - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 48 - Singapore - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 49 - South Korea - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 50 - South Korea - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 51 - Sri Lanka - Forecast Broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 52 - Sri Lanka - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 53 - Taiwan - Forecast Fixed Broadband Subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 54 - Taiwan - Forecast 4G LTE mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 55 - Tajikistan - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 56 - Tajikistan - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 57 - Thailand - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2011-2016; 2018; 2021
Table 58 - Thailand - Forecast mobile subscriber growth - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 59 - Turkmenistan - Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 60 - Turkmenistan - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 61 - Uzbekistan - Forecasts - fixed broadband subscribers - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 62 - Uzbekistan - Forecasts - mobile subscribers and penetration - 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 63 - Vietnam - Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2016 - 2018; 2021
Table 64 - Vietnam - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2016; 2018; 2021
Chart 1 - Kazakhstan - Forecast fixed broadband penetration rates - 2011 - 2021
Chart 2 - Kazakhstan - Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates - 2011 - 2016; 2018; 2021
Chart 3 - Kyrgyzstan - Fixed line forecast - 2011 - 2021
Chart 4 - Kyrgyzstan - Forecast fixed broadband penetration rates 2010 - 2021